Tuesday, August 31, 2004

Interesting Analysis of Recruiting Rankings

If you look at the guru recruiting rankings, they like to rate the top 100 or 150 players. Rivals for example ranks the top 150. They update their rankings after the summer camps, so there is a May ranking and an update in August. From a Marquette discussion board, check out this analysis of the changes in rankings for many recruits. Note that Lewis Clinch was not even ranked in the top 150 and moved to #36 - wow!! Well, let me tell you, Clinch for some reason didn't get invited to the shoe camps. He was a "sleeper" as they like to call them. Now he's on the radar and he's also committed to GT. Just goes to show that Coach Hewitt and staff are the REAL evaluators of talent.

Personally, here is how I would probably break it down for the GT program and the level of recruits we are in on - top 50, 50-100, 100-150.

Rivals 2005 Top 150 (mid May vs early August)

38 of the 150 (25.3%) who were on the list in May have been replaced by new guys (Jeremy Barr and Marcus Landry are two of these 38 no longer in the Top 150, Jerel McNeal is one of the 38 new players).

43 of the 150 (28.7%) who are on the list now had a change in ranking of between 40 to 135 places on the list (Harvey Hale (93), Travis Walton (at least 55), Ryan Wright (49), Terrance Williams (45) and Andre McGee (58) are five of the 43).

58 of the 150 (38.7%) who are on the list now had a change in ranking of 30 or more players (Jerel McNeal and Phillip Perry are two of these 58).

85 of the 150 (56.7%) who are on the list now had a change in ranking of 20 or more players (Chris Douglas-Roberts, Harvey Perry, Luke Zeller, Leo Criswell and Korey Spates are five of these 84).

57 of the 150 (38.0%) who are on the list now (besides 8 who weren't ranked, so it's unclear where they exactly fit) changed less than 20 players. Dominic James (10 spots), Wesley Matthews (14) are two of those.

What's it all mean? Take all of it for being worth what you paid for it.

Ranking Player Name, verbal, previous ranking

No Change (3 players)
=====================
6. Martell Webster, none
26. Calvin (CJ) Miles, none
149. Jeremy Pargo, none

Change 1-9 spots (32 players)
=============================
1. Gerald Green, Oklahoma State, was #9
2. Louis Williams, Georgia, was #3
7. Andray Blatche, none, was #12
8. Tyler Handbrough, none, was #5
9. Monta Ellis, Mississippi State, was #7
12. Mario Chalmers, Kansas, was #8
14. Micah Downs, Kansas, was #22
15. Jamont Gordon, none, was #18
16. Eric Devendorf, Syracuse, was #17
17. Joe Krabbenhoft, Wisconsin, was #15
19. Jovan Adams, none, was #14
21. Mike Mercer, Georgia, was #30
27. Fendi Onobun, Arizona, was #32
35. Kevin Rogers, none, was #36
39. Theo Davis, Texas, was #31
41. Marcus Ginyard, North Carolina, was #34
49. Austin Jackson, none, was #35
52. Marcus Johnson, none, was #57
60. Jerry-Davon Jefferson, none, was #65
72. Marcus Williams, none, was #67
73. Richard Delk, none, was #68 ***
106. Eric Whitehurst, none, was #112
125. Jay Brown, none, was #120
132. Jerret Smith, Michigan, was #138
136. Bryan Mullins, none, was #127
137. Keaton Grant, none, was #129
139. Rashad Chase, none, was #136
143. Brandon Smith, none, was not ranked
144. Alfred Aboya, none, was not ranked
146. Darren Collison, UCLA, was not ranked
147. Jaron Griffin, Rutgers, was not ranked
150. Yamene Coleman, none, was #145

Change 10-19 spots (30 players)
===============================
4. Brandon Rush, none, was #21
10. Julian Wright, none, was #23
11. Tasmin Mitchell, none, was #1
13. Keith Brumbaugh, none, was #2
22. Bobby Frasor, North Carolina, was #10
25. Greg Paulus, Duke, was #11
29. Brandon Costner, none, was #42
30. Courtney Fells, NC State, was #20
31. Jon Brockman, none, was #45
37. Bryan Harvey, none, was #47
40. Rashad Woods, none, was #25
56. Terrel Harris, Oklahoma State, was #43
58. Tiki Mayben, Syracuse, was #40
62. Casaan Breeden, none, was #49
65. Shane Clark, Villanova, was #53
77. Ryan Reid, none, was #94
78. Jamal Boykin, Duke, was #66
79. Ryan Ayers, Notre Dame, was #95
81. Reginald Delk, none, was #62 ***
82. Brian Asbury, Miami-FL, was #93
84. Dominic James, Marquette, was #74
86. Wes Matthews, Marquette, was #72
91. Ben McCauley, none, was #75
92. KC Rivers, Clemson, was #78
103. David Weaver, Wake Forest, was #117
105. Anthony Mason Jr., none, was #115
133. Ahmad Nivins, none, was not ranked
134. Taylor Griffin, none, was not ranked
138. Maurice Joseph, none, was not ranked
140. Jimmie Sutton, none, was not ranked

Change 20-29 spots (26 players)
===============================
3. Josh McRoberts, Duke, was #27
18. Amir Johnson, Louisville, was #39
20. Bryon Eaton, none, was #46
32. Magnum Rolle, none, was #58
33. Eric Boateng, none, was #13
45. Austin Johnson, none, was #73
51. Chris Douglas-Roberts, none, was #24
59. Harvey Perry, Washington, was #79
61. Luke Zeller, Notre Dame, was #33
67. Gary Flowers, none, was #38
68. Derwin Kitchen, Florida, was #89
69. Clarence Holloway, Louisville, was #92
71. Tyrell Biggs, none, was #48
76. Lawrence Hill, Stanford, was #98
83. Henry Dugat, none, was #61
90. Denis Clemente, none, was #70
101. Leo Criswell, none, was #77
117. Kashif Watson, none, was #143
122. John Garcia, none, was not ranked
123. Korey Spates, Purdue, was not ranked
124. Wilson Chandler, none, was not ranked
126. Kyle McAlarney, Notre Dame, was not ranked
127. Danny Williams, none, was not ranked
129. Quinton Thornton, none, was not ranked
131. Anthony Farmer, Rutgers, was not ranked
145. Justin Wilkerson, Texas Tech, was #118

Change 30-39 spots (15 players)
===============================
34. Korvotney Barber, none, was #71
50. Ricky Sanchez, none, was #16
53. Chad Millard, none, was #19
88. Dior Lowhorn, none, was #125
94. Curtis Jerrells, Baylor, was #60
102. Phillip Perry, Wisconsin, was #139
112. Joey Shaw, none, was #142
113. Rashaad Singleton, Georgia, was not ranked
114. Abdul Hererra, none, was #81
116. A.J. Abrams, Texas, was #148
118. Jabari Currie, none, was not ranked
119. Adrian Thomas, none, was not ranked
121. Jerel McNeal, Marquette, was not ranked
135. Alade Aminu, Georgia Tech, was #102
141. Lamar Falley, none, was #108

Change 40-59 spots (21 players)
===============================
23. JP Prince, none, was #69
24. Vernon Goodrich, none, was #150
54. Ryan Wright, none, was #103
55. Jessie Sapp, none, was #105
75. Kevin Swinton, Wake Forest, was #28
80. Jordan Wilkes none, was #37
87. Andre McGee, Louisville, was #29
89. Danny Green, none, was #132
93. Levance Fields, none, was not ranked
95. Derrick Brown, none, was not ranked
96. Travis Walton, Michigan State, was not ranked
97. Jeremy Mayfield, none, was not ranked
98. Cyrus McGowan, none, was not ranked
99. Terrence Williams, Louisville, was #54
100. Uche Echefu, none, was not ranked
107. Joey Cameron, Tennessee, was #63
108. Ricky Torres, none, was not ranked
109. Anthony Goods, Stanford, was #59
110. Kendric Price, none, was #64
128. Sean McCurdy, none, was #82
130. Josh Thornton, Georgetown, was #87

Change 60-99 spots (15 players)
===============================
42. Devan Downey, none, was #137
46. Artem Wallace, Washington, was #122
57. Nyan Boateng, none, was not ranked
63. Tyler Smith, none, was not ranked
64. Antonio Anderson, none, was not ranked
66. Kenneth Cooper, none, was not ranked
70. Justin Dentmon, none, was not ranked
74. Lawrence Kinnard, none, was not ranked
85. Gerald Inman, Rutgers, was #146
104. David Huertas, Florida, was #44
111. Michael Washington, none, was #51
115. Rousean Cromwell, none, was #52
120. Octavious Spann, none, was #50
142. C.J. Henry, none, was #80
148. Harvey Hale, none, was #55

Change 100 or more spots (7 players)
====================================
28. Lee Bynum, none, was not ranked
36. Lewis Clinch, none, was not ranked
38. Alonzo Gee, none, was #144
43. Terry Martin Jr., Texas Tech, was not ranked
44. Roderick Flemings, Oklahoma State, was not ranked
47. Jeff Adrien, none, was not ranked
48. Shawn Taggart, none, was not ranked