Wednesday, March 23, 2005

A Case for Jarrett Jack to Stay

Ok, one arguement for Jarrett Jack to stay for his senior season is to cement his legacy as one of the all-time Georgia Tech great Point Guards. Ok to be fair, he has already done that. However, to cement his name in the history books and to get that jersey hanging from the rafters, we need just one more year.


DistrickJacket over at the Hive put together a great post projecting out Jack's career stats should he stay around. I am taking the liberty of putting it here, as it is well done. Maybe Jarrett will even see it.....


From The Hive
I took a look at what Jarrett can reasonably be expected to obtain statistically for his career if he adds one more year onto the pile he has amassed thus far. I think he makes a pretty good case for himself statistically without even considering the non statistical credentials.


I have projected a senior year output with the following assumptions:
Steals, FTs, FTA, 3FG, 3FGA: repeat of junior year per game rates (No progression).
Games: 33. Assuming a 3 game preseason/holiday tournament, 2 games in the ACCT and 2 games in the NCAA/NIT. Obviously anything more would improve his career stats above what I show below.
Assists: 5.4 apg. This matches his career average
Points: 17.0 ppg. This is an increase of 1.0 ppg over his junior year to reflect the increased scoring load he would likely take on in next year's line-up as the clear goto guy.


Here is where the above assumptions place Jarrett on various GT career lists:


Steals: 1st (243 projected; Price is current leader at 240)
Games: 1st (134 projected; Mackey, Lewis and McHenry are current leaders at 130)
Games started: 1st (133 projected; Mackey is current leader at 127)
Assists: 2nd with a great shot at 1st (721 projected. Jon Barry is current leader at 724 )
FTs: 2nd (487 projected; Harpring is current leader at 508)
FTA: 5th (598 projected; Alvin Jones is leader at 718, Yunkus is 4th w/ 614)
ft%: 6th (.813 projected; surpassed only by Price (.850) and Lewis (.840) in the ACC era)
3FG%: 7th (.384 projected; .001 behind Oliver, .001 ahead of Vinson)
Points: 9th (1826 projected; 18 behind Oliver, 8 ahead of Ferrell)
3FG: 10th (141 projected; 1 more than Shaun Fein)
3FGA: 11th (367 projected; 1 less than Shaun Fein)


And for my own, made up "Basics of basketball" stat:
Rebounds + steals + assists + points: 3rd (3381 projected, Harpring is clear leader at 3687, Yunkus is about 3430 /-)


Here is where those with retired jerseys sit:
1..........Matt Harpring..............3687
2..........Rich Yunkus.................3430 +/-
3..........Jarrett Jack (projected)....3381
5..........Mark Price.......................3274
6..........Tom Hammonds..............3194
15.........John Salley......................2801
29........Roger Kaiser....................2410 +/-


Finally (if you are still reading), here is what might have been if all of our early entrant guys had stayed:


Kenny Anderson.........4966
Dennis Scott..............4097
Stephon Marbury........4064
Dion Glover................3800
Chris Bosh..................3324